Key Highlights:
- After a sluggish begin to his rookie yr, Gradey Dick has actually picked up the tempo in his final 21 video games – averaging 9.2 PPG on 62.3% true taking pictures
- Dick is greater than only a shooter – he’s good at making fast choices and attacking closeouts
- Dick has the possibility to turn into the sort of position participant that you just discover on groups contending for championships
As we’ve already mentioned in-depth with younger studs like Chet Holmgren and Brandin Podziemski, this class of rookies is plagued by gifted prospects who will likely be impacting this recreation for years to come back. However we shouldn’t let the massive names make us neglect about under-the-radar guys who might not be on monitor to All-Stardom however nonetheless might be integral components of sturdy groups.
A kind of names is Gradey Dick, the participant chosen by the Toronto Raptors with the thirteenth total choose within the 2023 NBA Draft. However what’s it that makes him so promising? What’s it that retains him from being a star? And who’re some present gamers who he might hope to emulate?
The Good
Dick’s NBA profession obtained off to a little bit of a bumpy begin. By means of his 21 video games, the Kansas Jayhawks product averaged 3.4 PPG on 45.2% true taking pictures. Nevertheless, after a trip to the Raptors’ G-League affiliate (the Raptors 905), Dick rediscovered his basketball mojo and returned to the NBA searching for redemption.
Since then, in his final 21 video games, Dick has averaged 9.6 PPG on 62.3% true taking pictures. An enormous motive for his turnaround has been the reemergence of his trusty jumper. In his first 21 video games, Dick shot a mere 27.1% from past the arc. In his final 21 video games, Dick has transformed on 42.9% of his triples.
This isn’t the results of some flukey small pattern measurement nonsense. The explanation Dick was so highly-coveted popping out of school was his skill to stroke from method downtown (40.3% 3-point shooter in school). Dick combines his excessive launch angle (he’s 6’8), nice contact (92.0% free throw shooter), and speedy taking pictures launch (see this clip) to be among the best marksmen within the sport.
These days, the sport has grown too refined for a participant to only be a taking pictures specialist. Defenses counter these shoot-first gamers by working them off the 3-point line and forcing the person to beat them off the dribble (aka the fly-by closeout).
What made Dick such an intriguing prospect in school was his skill to not solely shoot but additionally to counter aggressive closeouts with drives to the rim. Early within the season, Dick did not translate his collegiate success to the NBA degree (25.5% drives true taking pictures in his first 21 video games, per NBA.com).
However that energy has appeared to return alongside along with his jumper. In Dick’s final 21 video games, his drives true taking pictures is as much as 52.4%. That’s nonetheless under the league common in that play kind. However with rookies, it’s not in regards to the effectivity. It’s in regards to the flashes. And Dick’s flashes have absolutely been fascinating.
Dick can’t solely full these closeout assaults with a dribble drive end. He may keep energy performs by surveying the court docket and hitting the open man (like this).
His consolation in these closeout attacking conditions speaks to a a lot bigger theme of his recreation. Dick might not be the very best on-ball creator (extra on this in a second), however he is aware of the way to play with pace and browse the sport rapidly. If you mix this along with his measurement and out of doors taking pictures, he turns into the proper position participant to pair with gifted ball handlers/passers like Scottie Barnes and Immanuel Quickley.
The Dangerous
Offensively, Dick has the proper loadout for being an excellent complimentary piece. Sadly, protection is a unique story.
As we established, Dick is tall, understands defensive rotations, and he performs with an distinctive motor. Relating to that final level, I’ve once called him the basketball equal of Crash Bandicoot. However his freneticism remains to be a bit uncontrolled. He’s within the thirtieth percentile in foul charge amongst wing gamers (per Cleansing the Glass).
Normally, committing quite a lot of fouls isn’t a deal-breaker. You possibly can dwell with that if the participant is committing these fouls within the title of making an attempt to drive turnovers. Nevertheless, Dick is barely within the 52nd percentile in steal charge amongst wings. This isn’t actually sufficient defensive playmaking to make up for his moments of recklessness.
On prime of that, Dick is a poor point-of-attack defender (first clip within the video montage under) who, regardless of his peak, doesn’t present a lot resistance on drives (second clip) or within the put up (third). And though he battles onerous for defensive rebounds (58th percentile in contested rebounding proportion, minimal 20 video games performed), he can get outworked on field outs (fourth).
Given his frailer body and under common vertical pop (he hasn’t recorded a single block in 708 minutes this yr) and lateral agility, it’s onerous to think about Dick ever being even a mean defender.
Again to his offense, it’s onerous to examine a big position for Dick than the one he at present has. Dick’s obtained a poor handle, as evidenced by the truth that solely 10% of his photographs this yr have come after three or extra dribbles. This limits the quantity of on-ball creation he will be moderately anticipated to deal with. Plus, since he’s not a lot of a vertical menace, he can’t improve his position by being a lob finisher or rim curler.
The Backside Line
The explanation Dick has been on my radar currently (man, that was an odd sentence to kind) is that his statistical profile (in line with Cerebro Sports’ 5-Metric Suite) is fairly just like that of Trey Murphy III’s throughout his inaugural season.
Per @CerebroSports‘ 5-Metric Suite:
Gradey Dick
USG = 16%
PSP = 48
3PE = 72
FGS =50
ATR = 46
DSI = 63Trey Murphy III (rookie yr)
USG = 15%
PSP = 44
3PE =72
FGS = 52
ATR = 51
DSI = 67Clearly, TMIII is a greater bodily athlete, however nonetheless fascinating how related they’re. pic.twitter.com/EPXl1enRuX
— Mat Issa (@matissa15) March 8, 2024
Murphy, like Dick, was chosen in the midst of the primary spherical and went largely unrecognized throughout his rookie yr earlier than bursting onto the season in his sophomore season. Now, Murphy is without doubt one of the most respected position gamers in basketball.
Dick’s ceiling is decrease than Murphy’s due to the variations of their athletic skill (Murphy was the runner-up within the 2023 Slam Dunk Contest). However it is vitally potential that Dick’s mix of taking pictures, spacing, closeout attacking, and measurement results in a large leap in Yr Two.
Due to his defensive shortcomings, Dick is probably going eradicated from becoming a member of the elite position participant tier. However along with his peak, if Dick can keep his defensive depth whereas additionally studying to rein in his fouls, he might nonetheless be a fairly good position participant (just like Simone Fontecchio or Duncan Robinson).
Traditionally, successful groups home actually good position gamers, and Dick’s potential to be that makes him value maintaining a tally of transferring ahead.