Nationwide League prime to backside

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My Nationwide League forecast for 2023, which was unveiled over the previous three weeks, is highlighted by the next divisional champions. Click on on every hyperlink for particulars:

My predictions are based mostly on comparisons of the the league’s 15 current clubs with the three-year information of 1,258 groups from the span between 1976 and 2020. I centered on the 50 closest matches (CMs) for every squad, the 50 groups from the previous that almost all carefully resembled every present-day membership.

Look beneath to see my top-to-bottom 2023 rankings of Nationwide League groups, as decided by the next-year records of each club’s CMs. The standings are based mostly on the variety of playoff qualifiers, with any ties damaged progressively by the numbers of league titles and world championships.

Every membership’s 2022 file is listed with its profitable proportion and postseason abbreviations (if relevant) of P for a playoff berth, L for a league championship, and W for a world title.

A brand new installment will arrive in your electronic mail every Tuesday and Friday morning

  • Outcomes for 50 closest matches: 34 playoff qualifiers, 15 league titles, 8 world championships

  • Forecast for 2023 common season: 1st place in NL West

  • Qualify for 2023 playoffs: Sure, division champion

  • Document in 2022: 111-51 (.685, P)

  • Outcomes for 50 closest matches: 26 playoff qualifiers, 6 league titles, 3 world championships

  • Forecast for 2023 common season: 1st place in NL East

  • Qualify for 2023 playoffs: Sure, division champion

  • Document in 2022: 101-61 (.623, P)

  • Outcomes for 50 closest matches: 22 playoff qualifiers, 4 league titles, 1 world championship

  • Forecast for 2023 common season: 1st place in NL Central

  • Qualify for 2023 playoffs: Sure, division champion

  • Document in 2022: 86-76 (.531)

  • Outcomes for 50 closest matches: 21 playoff qualifiers, 6 league titles, 3 world championships

  • Forecast for 2023 common season: 2nd place in NL East

  • Qualify for 2023 playoffs: Sure, wild-card qualifier

  • Document in 2022: 101-61 (.623, P)

  • Outcomes for 50 closest matches: 21 playoff qualifiers, 6 league titles, 1 world championship

  • Forecast for 2023 common season: 2nd place in NL Central

  • Qualify for 2023 playoffs: Sure, wild-card qualifier

  • Document in 2022: 93-69 (.574, P)

  • Outcomes for 50 closest matches: 19 playoff qualifiers, 6 league titles, 3 world championships

  • Forecast for 2023 common season: third place in NL East

  • Qualify for 2023 playoffs: Sure, wild-card qualifier

  • Document in 2022: 87-75 (.537, LP)

  • Outcomes for 50 closest matches: 16 playoff qualifiers, 5 league titles, 4 world championships

  • Forecast for 2023 common season: 2nd place in NL West

  • Qualify for 2023 playoffs: No

  • Document in 2022: 81-81 (.500)

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  • Outcomes for 50 closest matches: 12 playoff qualifiers, 4 league titles, 0 world championships

  • Forecast for 2023 common season: third place in NL West

  • Qualify for 2023 playoffs: No

  • Document in 2022: 89-73 (.549, P)

  • Outcomes for 50 closest matches: 8 playoff qualifiers, 1 league title, 0 world championships

  • Forecast for 2023 common season: 4th place in NL West

  • Qualify for 2023 playoffs: No

  • Document in 2022: 74-88 (.457)

  • Outcomes for 50 closest matches: 5 playoff qualifiers, 1 league title, 1 world championship

  • Forecast for 2023 common season: third place in NL Central

  • Qualify for 2023 playoffs: No

  • Document in 2022: 62-100 (.383)

  • Outcomes for 50 closest matches: 4 playoff qualifiers, 1 league title, 0 world championships

  • Forecast for 2023 common season: 4th place in NL East

  • Qualify for 2023 playoffs: No

  • Document in 2022: 69-93 (.426)

  • Outcomes for 50 closest matches: 4 playoff qualifiers, 0 league titles, 0 world championships

  • Forecast for 2023 common season: 4th place in NL Central

  • Qualify for 2023 playoffs: No

  • Document in 2022: 74-88 (.457)

  • Outcomes for 50 closest matches: 3 playoff qualifiers, 2 league titles, 0 world championships

  • Forecast for 2023 common season: fifth place in NL Central

  • Qualify for 2023 playoffs: No

  • Document in 2022: 62-100 (.383)

  • Outcomes for 50 closest matches: 3 playoff qualifiers, 1 league title, 1 world championship

  • Forecast for 2023 common season: fifth place in NL West

  • Qualify for 2023 playoffs: No

  • Document in 2022: 68-94 (.420)

  • Outcomes for 50 closest matches: 2 playoff qualifiers, 0 league titles, 0 world championships

  • Forecast for 2023 common season: fifth place in NL East

  • Qualify for 2023 playoffs: No

  • Document in 2022: 55-107 (.340)

An entire rundown of 2022 stats — and a glance forward on the season to return

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