NL prime to backside in 2024

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I unveiled my top-to-bottom preseason rankings of the 15 American League groups on Tuesday. Do you care to guess immediately’s topic?

The 15 Nationwide League golf equipment, after all.

I’ve already issued my predictions for the NL’s three divisions. These are the doubtless champions:

My forecasts are primarily based on comparisons of the league’s present golf equipment with the three-year information of 1,288 groups from the span between 1976 and 2021. I centered on the 50 closest matches (CMs) for every squad, the 50 groups from the previous that almost all carefully resembled every present-day membership. (Click here for details.)

Every crew’s rating relies on the following performances of its 50 CMs, with one level for every successful proportion above .500, two for every playoff qualifier, three for every league title, and 4 for every world championship.

The Dodgers sit on the prime of the Nationwide League rankings with a complete of 143 factors, adopted by the Braves at 126 and the Philadelphia Phillies at 122. The Phils are anticipated to safe a wild-card berth within the playoffs.

Look under to see my top-to-bottom 2024 rankings of the 15 NL groups. Every entry features a membership’s rating for the upcoming season, its predicted place within the divisional standings, its playoff standing, the outcomes for its 50 closest matches, and its 2023 file, together with the membership’s successful proportion and postseason abbreviations, if relevant. These abbreviations are P for a playoff berth, L for a league championship, and W for a world title.

A brand new installment will arrive in your e mail upon posting

  • 2024 prediction factors: 143

  • Forecast for 2024 common season: First place in NL West

  • Qualify for 2024 playoffs: Sure, division champion

  • Outcomes for 50 closest matches: 29 playoff qualifiers, 9 league titles, 4 world championships

  • 2023 file: 100-62 (.617, P)

  • 2024 prediction factors: 126

  • Forecast for 2024 common season: First place in NL East

  • Qualify for 2024 playoffs: Sure, division champion

  • Outcomes for 50 closest matches: 27 playoff qualifiers, 8 league titles, 2 world championships

  • 2023 file: 104-58 (.642, P)

  • 2024 prediction factors: 122

  • Forecast for 2024 common season: Second place in NL East

  • Qualify for 2024 playoffs: Sure, wild-card qualifier

  • Outcomes for 50 closest matches: 22 playoff qualifiers, 8 league titles, 4 world championships

  • 2023 file: 90-72 (.556, P)

  • 2024 prediction factors: 98

  • Forecast for 2024 common season: First place in NL Central

  • Qualify for 2024 playoffs: Sure, division champion

  • Outcomes for 50 closest matches: 19 playoff qualifiers, 6 league titles, 2 world championships

  • 2023 file: 92-70 (.568, P)

  • 2024 prediction factors: 85

  • Forecast for 2024 common season: Second place in NL Central

  • Qualify for 2024 playoffs: Sure, wild-card qualifier

  • Outcomes for 50 closest matches: 15 playoff qualifiers, 5 league titles, 2 world championships

  • 2023 file: 83-79 (.512)

  • 2024 prediction factors: 78

  • Forecast for 2024 common season: Second place in NL West

  • Qualify for 2024 playoffs: Sure, wild-card qualifier

  • Outcomes for 50 closest matches: 15 playoff qualifiers, 4 league titles, 1 world championship

  • 2023 file: 82-80 (.506)

  • 2024 prediction factors: 71

  • Forecast for 2024 common season: Third place in NL West

  • Qualify for 2024 playoffs: No

  • Outcomes for 50 closest matches: 15 playoff qualifiers, 2 league titles, 1 world championship

  • 2023 file: 84-78 (.519, LP)

  • 2024 prediction factors: 57

  • Forecast for 2024 common season: Third place in NL East

  • Qualify for 2024 playoffs: No

  • Outcomes for 50 closest matches: 11 playoff qualifiers, 2 league titles, 1 world championship

  • 2023 file: 75-87 (.463)

  • 2024 prediction factors: 56

  • Forecast for 2024 common season: Third place in NL Central

  • Qualify for 2024 playoffs: No

  • Outcomes for 50 closest matches: 6 playoff qualifiers, 4 league titles, 3 world championships

  • 2023 file: 71-91 (.438)

  • 2024 prediction factors: 44

  • Forecast for 2024 common season: Fourth place in NL West

  • Qualify for 2024 playoffs: No

  • Outcomes for 50 closest matches: 7 playoff qualifiers, 1 league title, 0 world championships

  • 2023 file: 79-83 (.488)

  • 2024 prediction factors: 39

  • Forecast for 2024 common season: Fourth place in NL East

  • Qualify for 2024 playoffs: No

  • Outcomes for 50 closest matches: 9 playoff qualifiers, 1 league title, 0 world championships

  • 2023 file: 84-78 (.519, P)

  • 2024 prediction factors: 28

  • Forecast for 2024 common season: Fourth place in NL Central

  • Qualify for 2024 playoffs: No

  • Outcomes for 50 closest matches: 5 playoff qualifiers, 1 league title, 0 world championships

  • 2023 file: 82-80 (.506)

  • 2024 prediction factors: 28

  • Forecast for 2024 common season: Fifth place in NL Central

  • Qualify for 2024 playoffs: No

  • Outcomes for 50 closest matches: 7 playoff qualifiers, 0 league titles, 0 world championships

  • 2023 file: 76-86 (.469)

  • 2024 prediction factors: 16

  • Forecast for 2024 common season: Fifth place in NL East

  • Qualify for 2024 playoffs: No

  • Outcomes for 50 closest matches: 2 playoff qualifiers, 1 league title, 0 world championships

  • 2023 file: 71-91 (.438)

  • 2024 prediction factors: 14

  • Forecast for 2024 common season: Fifth place in NL West

  • Qualify for 2024 playoffs: No

  • Outcomes for 50 closest matches: 3 playoff qualifiers, 0 league titles, 0 world championships

  • 2023 file: 59-103 (.364)



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